NATO Defence

SAGE International Briefing #013 hero illustration featuring NATO Headquarters, titled Before Block, Blunt, Break, with the words Recognise, Understand, Resist.

Before Block, Blunt, Break: Integrating Threshold Conditioning™ Into NATO’s Existing Counter-Hybrid Architecture

Can NATO defeat an adversary that undermines its defences before conventional war begins? SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief No. 013 examines General Alexus Grynkewich’s Block, Blunt, Break Theory of Victory and introduces the Threshold Conditioning Assessment Mechanism (TCAM™). Designed to work through NATO’s existing institutions, TCAM offers a practical framework to recognise, understand and resist cumulative strategic threats, including hybrid warfare, AI-enabled disruption and vulnerabilities in critical commercial technologies.

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