SIB #008 examines how a future Taiwan conflict could extend into space from its opening stages. With both China and the United States increasingly dependent on vulnerable orbital systems, counter-space operations may become central to command, targeting, communications and escalation. The brief assesses the implications for allied deterrence, Australian defence preparedness and national resilience.
US military superiority may secure the Strait of Hormuz without restoring confidence in its use. SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #007 examines how Iran can exploit maritime risk, commercial uncertainty and threshold conditioning to challenge US escalation dominance without achieving conventional sea control.
SAGE examines how economic coercion is reshaping the US–Iran confrontation into a wider test of Chinese, Russian and Iranian strategic thresholds. As each actor probes how far it can push without triggering direct conflict, repeated escalation risks becoming normalised—with potentially dangerous consequences.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #005 Threshold Conditioning in the Indo-Pacific — Winning Without Invading Taiwan 17 August 2026 SAGE International… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #004 Threshold Conditioning—Winning Without Crossing the Threshold 10 August 2026 SAGE International Australia Author: Dr John… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief – Special Report #001 AUKUS Pillar I: Strategic Capability or Industrial Gamble? 9 July 2026 SAGE… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #003 Ukraine War: Attrition, Drones and the Rising Cost of Putin’s Strategy 29 June 2026 SAGE… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #002 The Closure of Hormuz: The First Major Test of the Switzerland Agreement 22 June 2026… Read more >
SAGE Strategic INTELLIGENCE BRIEF #001 The Switzerland Agreement: Ceasefire or Strategic Pause? 18 June 2026 SAGE International Australia Author Dr… Read more >
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