Threshold Conditioning: War by Miscalculation
SAGE examines how economic coercion is reshaping the US–Iran confrontation into a wider test of Chinese, Russian and Iranian strategic thresholds. As each actor probes how far it can push without triggering direct conflict, repeated escalation risks becoming normalised—with potentially dangerous consequences.
AUKUS: The Trinational Tempest
The AUKUS submarine programme spans decades. Politics operates on much shorter horizons. Patrick Tyrrell examines the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing one of the most ambitious defence partnerships of the century.
Threshold Conditioning in the Indo-Pacific — Winning Without Invading Taiwan
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #005 Threshold Conditioning in the Indo-Pacific — Winning Without Invading Taiwan 17 August 2026 SAGE International… Read more >
Threshold Conditioning—Winning Without Crossing the Threshold
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #004 Threshold Conditioning—Winning Without Crossing the Threshold 10 August 2026 SAGE International Australia Author: Dr John… Read more >
