Can the laws of thermodynamics help us think about international affairs? Patrick Tyrrell uses heat and entropy as a lens on spreading conflict, shifting alliances and the difficulty of containing a geopolitical chain reaction.
SIB #009 examines how Russia–NATO competition is moving from cyberattacks, sabotage and electronic interference toward armed interception and the defence of critical infrastructure. Using the Lithuania drone incident and undersea activity near Svalbard as case studies, the brief assesses how Threshold Conditioning may gradually erode the practical boundaries of Article 5 without triggering conventional war.
Professor Salvatore Babones examines Australia’s “permanently temporary” visa system and the relationship between migration, education, economic growth and multiculturalism.
Professor Salvatore Babones examines Australia’s “permanently temporary” visa system and the relationship between migration, education, economic growth and multiculturalism.
Twenty-five years after 9/11, Professor Roy Casagranda joins Dr John Bruni to examine American power, Trump, Iran, the Pentagon and whether US global primacy is entering a period of fundamental change.
Twenty-five years after 9/11, Professor Roy Casagranda joins Dr John Bruni to examine American power, Trump, Iran, the Pentagon and whether US global primacy is entering a period of fundamental change.
SIB #008 examines how a future Taiwan conflict could extend into space from its opening stages. With both China and the United States increasingly dependent on vulnerable orbital systems, counter-space operations may become central to command, targeting, communications and escalation. The brief assesses the implications for allied deterrence, Australian defence preparedness and national resilience.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
US military superiority may secure the Strait of Hormuz without restoring confidence in its use. SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #007 examines how Iran can exploit maritime risk, commercial uncertainty and threshold conditioning to challenge US escalation dominance without achieving conventional sea control.
SAGE International Australia provides independent geopolitical, defence and strategic analysis to help organisations understand risk, identify opportunity and make better decisions in a rapidly changing world.
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