Can the laws of thermodynamics help us think about international affairs? Patrick Tyrrell uses heat and entropy as a lens on spreading conflict, shifting alliances and the difficulty of containing a geopolitical chain reaction.
US military superiority may secure the Strait of Hormuz without restoring confidence in its use. SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #007 examines how Iran can exploit maritime risk, commercial uncertainty and threshold conditioning to challenge US escalation dominance without achieving conventional sea control.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #002 The Closure of Hormuz: The First Major Test of the Switzerland Agreement 22 June 2026… Read more >
SAGE Strategic INTELLIGENCE BRIEF #001 The Switzerland Agreement: Ceasefire or Strategic Pause? 18 June 2026 SAGE International Australia Author Dr… Read more >
Dr. John Bruni is Founder & CEO of South Australian geopolitical think tank, SAGE International. He is also Host of… Read more >
SAGE International Australia provides independent geopolitical, defence and strategic analysis to help organisations understand risk, identify opportunity and make better decisions in a rapidly changing world.
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