America’s military superiority depends on its ability to sustain global commitments. SIB 011 examines how strategic overextension and defence industrial constraints can enable Threshold Conditioning, weaken allied readiness and increase pressure on Washington—and why Australia must strengthen sovereign capability, diversify supply and build greater strategic resilience.
Sir Lawrence Freedman joins Dr John Bruni to discuss modern strategy, Iran, NATO, escalation and the relationship between political aims and military force.
Sir Lawrence Freedman joins Dr John Bruni to discuss modern strategy, Iran, NATO, escalation and the relationship between political aims and military force.
SIB #009 examines how Russia–NATO competition is moving from cyberattacks, sabotage and electronic interference toward armed interception and the defence of critical infrastructure. Using the Lithuania drone incident and undersea activity near Svalbard as case studies, the brief assesses how Threshold Conditioning may gradually erode the practical boundaries of Article 5 without triggering conventional war.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #004 Threshold Conditioning—Winning Without Crossing the Threshold 10 August 2026 SAGE International Australia Author: Dr John… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief – Special Report #001 AUKUS Pillar I: Strategic Capability or Industrial Gamble? 9 July 2026 SAGE… Read more >
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