SIB #009 examines how Russia–NATO competition is moving from cyberattacks, sabotage and electronic interference toward armed interception and the defence of critical infrastructure. Using the Lithuania drone incident and undersea activity near Svalbard as case studies, the brief assesses how Threshold Conditioning may gradually erode the practical boundaries of Article 5 without triggering conventional war.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #003 Ukraine War: Attrition, Drones and the Rising Cost of Putin’s Strategy 29 June 2026 SAGE… Read more >
Dr. John Bruni SAGE International Adelaide, South Australia 31/05/24 KEY TAKEAWAYS Frustration Among Experts: There is palpable frustration among… Read more >
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