THE FOCUS #117 | Strategy in the 21st Century | Sir Lawrence Freedman
Sir Lawrence Freedman joins Dr John Bruni to discuss modern strategy, Iran, NATO, escalation and the relationship between political aims and military force.
THE FOCUS #117 | Strategy in the 21st Century | Sir Lawrence Freedman
Sir Lawrence Freedman joins Dr John Bruni to discuss modern strategy, Iran, NATO, escalation and the relationship between political aims and military force.
Winning the Strait, Losing the Passage? Iran and the Limits of Escalation Dominance
US military superiority may secure the Strait of Hormuz without restoring confidence in its use. SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #007 examines how Iran can exploit maritime risk, commercial uncertainty and threshold conditioning to challenge US escalation dominance without achieving conventional sea control.
Threshold Conditioning: War by Miscalculation
SAGE examines how economic coercion is reshaping the US–Iran confrontation into a wider test of Chinese, Russian and Iranian strategic thresholds. As each actor probes how far it can push without triggering direct conflict, repeated escalation risks becoming normalised—with potentially dangerous consequences.
The Closure of Hormuz: The First Major Test of the Switzerland Agreement
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #002 The Closure of Hormuz: The First Major Test of the Switzerland Agreement 22 June 2026… Read more >
The Switzerland Agreement – Ceasefire or Strategic Pause?
SAGE Strategic INTELLIGENCE BRIEF #001 The Switzerland Agreement: Ceasefire or Strategic Pause? 18 June 2026 SAGE International Australia Author Dr… Read more >