US military superiority may secure the Strait of Hormuz without restoring confidence in its use. SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #007 examines how Iran can exploit maritime risk, commercial uncertainty and threshold conditioning to challenge US escalation dominance without achieving conventional sea control.
The AUKUS submarine programme spans decades. Politics operates on much shorter horizons. Patrick Tyrrell examines the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing one of the most ambitious defence partnerships of the century.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #005 Threshold Conditioning in the Indo-Pacific — Winning Without Invading Taiwan 17 August 2026 SAGE International… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief – Special Report #001 AUKUS Pillar I: Strategic Capability or Industrial Gamble? 9 July 2026 SAGE… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #002 The Closure of Hormuz: The First Major Test of the Switzerland Agreement 22 June 2026… Read more >
SAGE Strategic INTELLIGENCE BRIEF #001 The Switzerland Agreement: Ceasefire or Strategic Pause? 18 June 2026 SAGE International Australia Author Dr… Read more >
March 2015 Sub Summit 2015 was a landmark event in Australia’s defence and industrial history, bringing together international media, defence… Read more >
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