What happens when political certainty collides with an upside-down world? Pat Tyrrell takes a journey through Donald Trump’s looking glass, examining the contradictions of power and their consequences for America, Europe and the international order.
Can NATO defeat an adversary that undermines its defences before conventional war begins? SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief No. 013 examines General Alexus Grynkewich’s Block, Blunt, Break Theory of Victory and introduces the Threshold Conditioning Assessment Mechanism (TCAM™). Designed to work through NATO’s existing institutions, TCAM offers a practical framework to recognise, understand and resist cumulative strategic threats, including hybrid warfare, AI-enabled disruption and vulnerabilities in critical commercial technologies.
What would it take to turn damage into defeat for Russia? Ben Hodges joins John Bruni to examine Ukraine’s options, energy targets and the stakes for European security.
What would it take to turn damage into defeat for Russia? Ben Hodges joins John Bruni to examine Ukraine’s options, energy targets and the stakes for European security.
Russia is exploiting the space between NATO consultation and collective defence. SIB #010 examines how Threshold Conditioning can normalise cumulative hostile activity—and proposes Threshold Deterrence as a mechanism for imposing progressively greater collective costs without sacrificing escalation control.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
Could Russia and NATO stumble into war? Karl-Heinz Kamp joins John Bruni to examine hybrid warfare, European defence, deterrence and SAGE’s concept of threshold conditioning.
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #004 Threshold Conditioning—Winning Without Crossing the Threshold 10 August 2026 SAGE International Australia Author: Dr John… Read more >
SAGE Strategic Intelligence Brief #003 Ukraine War: Attrition, Drones and the Rising Cost of Putin’s Strategy 29 June 2026 SAGE… Read more >
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